Evaluating the Performance of Machine Learning Algorithms Using Complex DHS Data: Does Random Forest Outperform in Predicting Child Undernutrition in Pakistan?

http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gmsr.2026(XI-I).11      10.31703/gmsr.2026(XI-I).11      Published : Mar 2026      Views: 7      Downloads: 7
Authored by : Muhammad Ali Yahya , Ahmad Samama Salehien , Shahzad Jahangir

11 Pages : 178-199

http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gmsr.2026(XI-I).11      10.31703/gmsr.2026(XI-I).11      Published : Mar 2026

Evaluating the Performance of Machine Learning Algorithms Using Complex DHS Data: Does Random Forest Outperform in Predicting Child Undernutrition in Pakistan?

Child undernutrition remains a critical public health challenge in Pakistan. This study evaluated five machine learning algorithms logistic regression, linear discriminant analysis, k-nearest neighbors, support vector machines (SVM), and random forest (RF) to predict undernutrition among children under five using Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey 2017–18 data (n=4,098). Undernutrition prevalence was 44.2% using the Composite Index of Anthropometric Failure. Random Forest achieved superior predictive performance (AUC: 0.86, accuracy: 80.0%, F1: 0.85), outperforming SVM (0.81), logistic regression (0.79), LDA (0.78), and KNN (0.75). Additionally, RF-based feature importance found that the maternal BMI, household wealth, sanitation, and child age were key predictors. These findings confirm that random forest outperforms other algorithms, supporting its integration into health information systems for targeted interventions.

    Prediction, undernutrition, machine learning, Feature importance, Pakistan
    (1) Muhammad Ali Yahya
    Bachelors of Artificial Intelligence, Department of Artificial Intelligence, School of Computing, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Bahawalpur, Punjab, Pakistan.
    (2) Ahmad Samama Salehien
    Bachelors of Computer Science, Department of Computer Science, School of Computing, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Bahawalpur, Punjab, Pakistan.
    (3) Shahzad Jahangir
    PhD Scholar (Development Studies Major in Health Economics), PIDE School of Policy, Development and Governance (PSPDG), Islamabad, Pakistan.

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    APA : Yahya, M. A., Salehien, A. S., & Jahangir, S. (2026). Evaluating the Performance of Machine Learning Algorithms Using Complex DHS Data: Does Random Forest Outperform in Predicting Child Undernutrition in Pakistan?. Global Management Sciences Review, XI(I), 178-199. https://doi.org/10.31703/gmsr.2026(XI-I).11
    CHICAGO : Yahya, Muhammad Ali, Ahmad Samama Salehien, and Shahzad Jahangir. 2026. "Evaluating the Performance of Machine Learning Algorithms Using Complex DHS Data: Does Random Forest Outperform in Predicting Child Undernutrition in Pakistan?." Global Management Sciences Review, XI (I): 178-199 doi: 10.31703/gmsr.2026(XI-I).11
    HARVARD : YAHYA, M. A., SALEHIEN, A. S. & JAHANGIR, S. 2026. Evaluating the Performance of Machine Learning Algorithms Using Complex DHS Data: Does Random Forest Outperform in Predicting Child Undernutrition in Pakistan?. Global Management Sciences Review, XI, 178-199.
    MHRA : Yahya, Muhammad Ali, Ahmad Samama Salehien, and Shahzad Jahangir. 2026. "Evaluating the Performance of Machine Learning Algorithms Using Complex DHS Data: Does Random Forest Outperform in Predicting Child Undernutrition in Pakistan?." Global Management Sciences Review, XI: 178-199
    MLA : Yahya, Muhammad Ali, Ahmad Samama Salehien, and Shahzad Jahangir. "Evaluating the Performance of Machine Learning Algorithms Using Complex DHS Data: Does Random Forest Outperform in Predicting Child Undernutrition in Pakistan?." Global Management Sciences Review, XI.I (2026): 178-199 Print.
    OXFORD : Yahya, Muhammad Ali, Salehien, Ahmad Samama, and Jahangir, Shahzad (2026), "Evaluating the Performance of Machine Learning Algorithms Using Complex DHS Data: Does Random Forest Outperform in Predicting Child Undernutrition in Pakistan?", Global Management Sciences Review, XI (I), 178-199
    TURABIAN : Yahya, Muhammad Ali, Ahmad Samama Salehien, and Shahzad Jahangir. "Evaluating the Performance of Machine Learning Algorithms Using Complex DHS Data: Does Random Forest Outperform in Predicting Child Undernutrition in Pakistan?." Global Management Sciences Review XI, no. I (2026): 178-199. https://doi.org/10.31703/gmsr.2026(XI-I).11